Monday, January 18, 2010

It could all come down to tomorrow's vote...

Sources: Obama advisers believe Coakley will lose

Martha Coakley(D) vs. Scott Brown (R) - Massachusetts votes for its next U.S. Senator on Tuesday - and the nation waits anxiously...

“Washington (CNN) - Multiple advisers to President Obama have privately told party officials that they believe Democrat Martha Coakley is going to lose Tuesday’s special election to fill the Massachusetts Senate seat held by the late Ted Kennedy for more than 40 years, several Democratic sources told CNN Sunday. The sources added that the advisers are still hopeful that Obama's visit to Massachusetts on Sunday - coupled with a late push by Democratic activists - could help Coakley pull out a narrow victory in an increasingly tight race against Republican state Sen. Scott Brown. However, the presidential advisers have grown increasingly pessimistic in the last three days about Coakley's chances after a series of missteps by the candidate, sources said.”

When The Bliss Index© was put to bed, Brown was leading by at least 5 points - and in some cases as many as 9 points – in pre-election polls. If Brown beats Coakley, the Massachusetts state Attorney General, handpicked by the Boston Machine, it will be one of the greatest upsets in modern American political history. In a state where Democrats outnumber GOP registrants by about 3-1…in a state where the Kennedy’s are not just royalty but their name is spoken in hushed, reverent tones…in a state where the last time a GOP candidate won a senate seat was when JFK was still stretching his legs in the U.S. Senate…where the idea of someone who might end up taking the late-Ted Kennedy’s seat…it’s almost too much to imagine/hope for...

Yes we can.

If Brown wins, not only will he have signaled that perhaps the sequel to “Camelot” is weakening at the box office, but also that any additional installments might not see the light of day. Immediately, though, he presents a tough challenge to the Obamacare effort: he becomes the 41st GOP vote, effectively strangling any future votes on the effort to nationalize health care. Thus, the race becomes a referendum for/on the administration…which motivated the president to travel to Massachusetts on Sunday for a last-minute bit of rallying.

The president didn’t get all the love he was hoping for when he came to speak for Coakley on Monday…

So, as a service to voters and non-voters alike, here’s a last-minute run-up to tomorrow’s special election.

Is history repeating? More than 200 years ago, a bunch of colonists – dressed as Native Americans – threw British goods into a Massachusetts harbor. Thus, the Boston Tea Party was born. Now, we’ve got conservatives, independents and others revolting against the administration and Congress…and we’ve got the modern Tea Party. In addition, if polls hold up, Bay State voters are once again going to throw their rulers’ “goods” into the (figurative) harbor when they elect a Republican to the U.S. Senate for the first time since the mid-1950s. As columnist Mark Steyn so aptly puts it (again, referring to one of the great moments of the American Revolution), tomorrow’s vote could be “The Scott Heard ‘Round the World.”

White House to everyone: “Even if Coakley loses, we’re shoving Obamacare down your throats.” They’ve got the plans in place. According to a report by the Associated Press, “The likeliest scenario would require persuading House Democrats to accept a bill the Senate passed last month, despite their objections to several parts.”

Yes, the Dems are worried. According to The Hill, “Democrats pulled out all the stops in Massachusetts on Monday but are bracing for a loss in Tuesday’s special election.” Some Dems have even said they’d do just about anything to prevent a Brown win.

If you’re behind in the polls in Massachusetts, do you really want to take on a Red Sox legend?

Add Schilling: He’s an even more important asset in Mass. when he and Doug Flutie join together. (If Brown signs-up Bobby Orr and Larry Bird, he will automatically be named King of the World.)

If you’ve seen any of Coakley’s appearances or any of her ads, you’ll notice the person she’s really running against is…George W. Bush. Hmmm. I guess she didn’t read her ballot closely enough.

If you’re the Dem candidate – and, apparently, Martha Coakley is – you’re praying for sunny skies on Tuesday.

Everyone thinks of the Bay State as the mecca of Eastern elitism…that is, except for the run-of-the-mill folks who live there. “Unlike the past when a liberal who lives in Beacon Hill, and the plumber who fixes his sinks and lives in Somerville could generally be relied upon to both vote for Ted Kennedy, this year the plumber from Somerville has a choice that easily appeals to *him* and will stick it to all those Ha-vahd snobs who have always looked down at him. Scott Brown can win, because he authentically appeals to a voting block that has been taken for granted in the Bay State for a long, long time...” (h/t: Charlie Foxtrot)

Finally, enough about Coakley being a “poor campaigner.” Heck, even the best of ‘em can blow it…as evidenced here.

“Republican Scott Brown is a regular guy who drives a truck with nearly 200,000 miles on it. He says the truck has brought him closer to the people as he’s traveled around Massachusetts during the special election to replace the late Ted Kennedy in the U.S. Senate. Today Barack Obama campaigned for Martha Coakley in Boston and bashed Scott Brown and truck owners several times during his speech. Obama told the crowd, ‘Anybody can own a truck.’ Of course, Obama’s latest attack on middle class Americans surprises no one. Obama has a history of this. Later Scott Brown responded to the president’s attack. FOX News reported: Brown took that opportunity to slam the president on government spending…’Mr. President, unfortunately in this economy, not everybody can buy a truck,” Brown said in a statement. “My goal is to change that by cutting spending, lowering taxes and letting people keep more of their own money.’”
(huge h/t: Gateway Pundit)

Here are the president's remarks:

...and here is Brown's original ad the president was poking at...

Which guy is the politician who sounds like someone you know is talking to you...not down to you?

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