Showing posts with label GDP. Show all posts
Showing posts with label GDP. Show all posts

Thursday, September 2, 2010

One of Stimulus' architects notes its failure

Christina Romer...

Dr. Christina Romer, until recently the head of President Barack Obama's Council of Economic Advisers and one of the chief architects behind the nearly trillion-dollar Stimulus, spoke at the National Press Club yesterday admitting the Stimulus was largely a failure.

You can read more about it at the Frum Forum, but here are a couple of key nuggets:

Calling the economic recovery “insufficient”, she noted that a 0.6% drop in the unemployment rate still leaves unemployment unbearably high. “Real GDP is growing, but not fast enough to create the hundreds of thousands of jobs each month that we need to return employment to its pre-crisis levels,” she said.

The Obama administration’s fiscal stimulus was meant to boost aggregate demand and get the economy going again. Estimates of GDP show that the United States is still 6% under its pre-crash trend, and that her plan hasn’t worked as expected.

“The United States still faces a substantial shortfall in aggregate demand… this shortfall in demand, rather than structural changes in the composition of our output… is the fundamental cause of our continued high unemployment.”

In her speech, Romer also mentions something we also knew was going on (besides the fact the Stimulus wasn't working): a second Stimulus bill also has been in the works.

Nice work if you can get it, eh?

There is one industry the Stimulus helped - Stimulus project sign makers...

Friday, April 30, 2010

Casting troubles on the water...

From Washington, D.C., to Wall Street...from the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Mexico...the challenges are significant - and growing. Tonight's offering is but just a sample...

Top of the News

Oil Slick Threatens U.S. Gulf Coast / First traces of oil ooze into Gulf's delicate wetlands...


Earlier today - the oil slick approaches the Gulf Coast...

BP's containment problem is unprecedented...


As horrific as the disaster's beginnings were, what might happen over the next weeks or months could prove to be much, much worse...

The rest of the news...


California / the West

You’ve heard of “The Little Train That Could”…how about “The Big, Fat, Expensive, Never-Will-Be-Realized Boondoggle – aka: California High-Speed Rail”…? - Major high-speed bump - State railway plan in trouble after report questions funding of $42B tab, project's lax oversight...

Meg Whitman's lack of public service / Meg Whitman spotted with ... Democrats!

Carly Fiorina: Coming Around Again - Carly Fiorina weathered a very public firing, breast cancer and the loss of a stepdaughter, but can the former boss of Hewlett-Packard win next months California Republican primary? Plus: The long, strange trip of California politics...

California Loses Fight to End Prison Oversight...

California coming up on 39 million people...

Oakland mayor who promised to take 10% pay cut no longer taking pay cut on account of his owing the IRS $252,000...

The Economy / Wall Street

GDP disappointment jolts stocks; Dow off 158...

3.2% GDP growth signals modest, steady recovery - The first-quarter rise is less than the 5.6% increase at the end of 2009, but is a stark improvement over the 6.4% decline in same period last year...

Beware Of The Muni Bond Bubble: States And Cities Can Fail As Well...

U.S. / Politics

Judge Won't Subpoena Obama to Testify...

Obama administration considers challenges to Arizona immigration law...

Immigration law amended - Ariz. guv says changes should lay racial profiling concerns to rest...

Villaraigosa backs boycott of Arizona...

Boehner Says Republicans Could Win 100 Seats - House Minority Leader John Boehner (R-OH) said House Republicans could win 100 or more seats in this fall's elections, The Hill reports. "Boehner said he believes there is no seat that the GOP cannot win during this election cycle, judging by Sen. Scott Brown's (R) improbable win in January's special election in Massachusetts." When pressed, Boehner said he believed the GOP could win as many as 100 House seats...

MICKEY KAUS: ” It’s getting highly annoying to hear Obama and Senate Democrats pretend that to have effective border control we have to take a package deal that includes amnesty. They’re worse than the cable company when it comes to package deals.”

CHRIS DODD TALKS TRANSPARENCY, DWELLS IN SECRECY...

China / Asia

China Remains Biggest U.S.-Debt Holder

China says Houston police beat, injured diplomat

Beijing limits home-buyers to one new apartment

International

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Putin Calls for Russia-Ukraine Gas Merger...

GOP senators ask Clinton to deny Ahmadinejad entry to U.S. for U.N. event

IRAN TRYING TO STIR UP TERRORISM IN MOROCCO...

United Nations Names Iran to Commission on the Status of Women...

Defense / Terrorism-related

Two Charged With Trying to Aid Al Qaeda...

Gates opposes getting rid of gay ban until Pentagon study done...

UN Gives Prize in the Name of Equatorial Guinean Dictator - Equatorial Guinea's dictator Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo, allegedly a cannibal and definitely a tyrant, has given the UN Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) $3m to award a $300,000 grant to scientists in his name...

Health/tech/science/Environment

5 reasons Flash would've rocked the iPhoneHigh winds, tides hamper oil fight - Massive spill oozes into La.'s fragile wetlands - birds, dolphins, turtles, manatees in harm's way...


Hat tip (sources): Los Angeles Times, NY Times, LA Observed, SF Chronicle/SFGate, SF Examiner, The Hill, Legal Insurrection, KCBS, Forbes.com, the Wall Street Journal/Online WSJ, the Drudge Report, Taegan Goddard’s Political Wire, Gawker, Instapundit, Philly.com, BBC, PopSci.com, AP News/MyWay, Boing Boing, Breitbart.com, The Daily Beast, Comcast.net, Korea Times, the Washington Post, Reuters, California Watch, TIME, Rheilworldview.com, Telegraph UK, Big Journalism, Moonbattery.com, NASA

Friday, October 30, 2009

Everything is not hunky dory...



That rise in the Gross Domestic Product might be a “mirage.” How so? “If a scientist or engineer is laid off, does it affect gross domestic product? The third-quarter GDP figures, released on Oct. 29, showed the economy growing at a 3.5% annual pace, breaking a string of four consecutive negative quarters. The growth was driven mostly by a surge in the production of motor vehicles and other manufactured goods. This number was greeted by many economists and journalists as confirmations that the recession is over. What's more, the rise in real GDP, combined with a sharp fall in employment in the third quarter, implies that productivity also soared during the period. Good news, right?” Not so fast.


Cut back on your future at your own risk...

Add GDP Mirage: As friend, blogger and political pundit Russ Snyder put it so well, “Add It's a truism in business that when times are tough, you cut back on coffee and toilet paper, but not on R&D. That's your seed corn. When Apple Computer was on the ropes in the early 1990s (and their stock was around $25), the cut everything BUT R&D, which they INCREASED. Now we have the iPod, iPhone and who-knows-what-else in the pipeline. Companies that were probably going to fail anyway may be cutting R&D, but not the smart ones.”


Yeah, they must be building bridges...

Last week alone, more Californians filed for jobless benefits for the first time than the number of jobs created by the “stimulus” since it passed nearly nine months ago. The Golden State had largest increase in claims for benefits (of any state) with 5,774 citizens asking for government help after being laid off (H/t Instapundit).

According to recovery.gov, the “so-called stimulus” created (or saved) 2,260 jobs in the Golden State since the President signed the bill in February. At that time, the Golden State’s junior Senator, Barbara Boxer, heralded Senate passage of the legislation, promising it would ‘put Californians to work. This bill will put Californians to work now building the highways, bridges, transit and rail systems, and renewable energy sources of the 21st century.”

The data show layoffs “in the construction, services and agricultural industries.” So, maybe 2,260 Californians are building bridges for the state. 5,774 fewer are building other things (or otherwise engaging in productive and remunerative activities -H/t for this entire section Gay Patriot.)


Overstating the obvious...

An early progress report on President Barack Obama's economic recovery plan overstates by thousands the number of jobs created or saved through the stimulus program, a mistake that White House officials promise will be corrected in future reports


Maybe they know something...

According to the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office, “public option premiums will be higher than private plans.” The story goes on to say, “The public insurance option would typically charge higher premiums than private plans available in the exchange, according to the CBO analysis of the House bill. That surprising conclusion raises doubts about Democratic promises that a government-run insurance plan would provide a lower-cost alternative to consumers. At the same time, it calls into question Republican charges that the plan amounts to government takeover of health insurance -- because only 6 million people would enroll in the plan, according to the CBO.”